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横断山区南段干湿坝子降水特征差异与成因分析

Analysis of precipitation characteristic differences and their causes between dry and wet basins on the southern section of the Hengduan Mountains

  • 摘要: 横断山区南段地形复杂,“地近雨异”现象突出,为揭示该区域降水分布特征的差异与成因,基于2019—2023年横断山区南段213个区域气象观测站和12个国家气象观测站以及2004—2023年宾川、大理两个国家气象观测站的小时降水数据,对比分析了以宾川站和大理站为代表的干、湿坝子的降水特征差异,并结合2019—2023年大理天气雷达观测资料探讨了降水差异的成因。结果表明:(1)横断山区南段年降水量、降水频次东少西多,降水强度差异较小。湿坝子的年、月、日降水量及降水频次均高于干坝子。湿坝子降水集中于8月,而干坝子在7月达到峰值。(2)湿坝子降水日变化呈单峰型,降水峰值出现在05时(北京时,下同),干坝子则呈双峰型,峰值出现在05时和15时。湿坝子的降水频次和强度夜间明显高于白天,干坝子则相反。(3)干、湿坝子降水类型均以短历时降水为主,但湿坝子的平均降水时长比干坝子多2 h,是区域降水的主要来源。共有降水事件中湿坝子主要表现为高频次、中长历时降水,而干坝子则以午后短历时强对流降水为主。(4)共有降水事件的雷达回波多呈自西向东传播,传播过程中降水强度减弱,难以到达干坝子,导致湿坝子降水频次与持续时间普遍高于干坝子。研究成果可为横断山区南段精细化天气预报和区域水资源管理提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The southern section of the Hengduan Mountains is characterized by complex terrain and frequent meteorological disasters, with distinct local heterogeneity in precipitation distribution being frequently observed. To reveal the characteristics and causes of precipitation distribution in this region, this study utilized hourly precipitation data from 213 regional automatic weather stations and 12 national meteorological stations during 2019−2023, as well as two national stations (Binchuan and Dali) during 2004−2023. The differences in precipitation characteristics between typical dry and wet basins, represented by the Binchuan and Dali stations, were analyzed. The causes of these differences were further examined using Dali Doppler weather radar data during 2019−2023. The results are as follows. (1) The annual precipitation amount and frequency in the southern Hengduan Mountains generally displayed a trend of lower values in the east and higher values in the west, but the difference in precipitation intensity was relatively small. The annual, monthly, and daily precipitation amount and frequency of the wet basin were all higher than those of the dry basin. The precipitation in the wet basin peaked in August, while that in the dry basin reached its peak in July. (2) The diurnal variation of precipitation in the wet basin showed a single-peak pattern, with the peak occurring at 05:00 (Beijing time, referred to as BT below). In the dry basin, it presented a bimodal pattern, with peaks occurring at 05:00 BT and 15:00 BT. The frequency and intensity of precipitation in the wet basin were significantly higher during nighttime than during the daytime, while an opposite diurnal distribution was observed in the dry basin. (3) Short-duration precipitation events dominated both the dry and wet basins. However, the average precipitation duration in the wet basin was 2 h longer than that in the dry basin, making it the primary contributor to regional precipitation. During regional coincident precipitation events, the wet basin was characterized by high-frequency, medium- to long-duration precipitation, whereas in the dry basin, precipitation was mainly contributed by short-duration convective precipitation occurring in the afternoon. (4) The diurnal variation of radar reflectivity factor during coincident precipitation events indicated that precipitation systems generally propagated from west to east. During the propagation, the intensity tended to weaken, making it difficult to reach the dry basin. This resulted in the higher frequency and duration of precipitation in the wet basin compared to the dry basin. These findings provide a reference for refined weather forecasting and regional water resources management in the southern section of the Hengduan Mountains.

     

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