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广西一次强降水过程对流系统不同时段的宏微观特征分析

Analysis of macro- and micro-scale characteristics of convective systems at different stages during a heavy precipitation process in Guangxi

  • 摘要: 为加深对广西地区低涡强降水微物理特征的认识和理解,利用多普勒天气雷达、雨量计、雨滴谱仪等观测资料及ERA5再分析资料,对2024年5月19日广西南宁市强降水过程的宏、微观特征进行分析。结果表明:(1) 此次强降水由暖区降水和系统性降水两个阶段组成,前者发生在低涡前部偏南风暖区,其回波形态由初期的孤立分散状逐渐组织化发展为团状;后者由低涡切变及切变线上的新生低涡所触发,其回波形态先后经历弓状、“人”字形及弓状的演变。(2) 与系统性降水阶段相比,暖区阶段层云降水的质量加权平均直径(Dm)偏小、标准化截距参数(log10Nw)偏大,而暖区阶段对流云降水的Dm值偏大、log10Nw值相近。两个降水阶段的雨滴谱特征差异,导致其反射率因子与降水强度的拟合关系(Z-R关系)也存在明显差异。(3) 基于K-means雨滴谱分类算法客观划分的5类强降水中,“低浓度、大粒径”的两类强降水在暖区降水阶段的发生频率明显高于在系统性降水阶段,主要归因于暖区降水具有更高的强回波伸展高度和更活跃的冰相微物理过程。研究结果揭示了低涡强降水过程不同时段的雨滴谱特征差异,可为后续利用雷达资料反演降水提供科学参考。

     

    Abstract: To deepen the understanding of the microphysical characteristics of heavy precipitation associated with low vortices in the Guangxi region, this study analyzes the macro- and micro-scale characteristics of an extreme heavy rainfall event that occurred in Nanning, Guangxi on May 19, 2024. Observational data from Doppler weather radar, rain gauges, disdrometers, as well as ERA5 reanalysis data are utilized. The results are as follows. (1) This heavy precipitation event consisted of two stages: warm-sector rainfall and systematic rainfall. The former occurred in the southerly warm sector ahead of the low vortex, with its echo morphology evolving from initially isolated and scattered forms into organized clusters. The latter was triggered by the vortex shear and a newly developed vortex along the shear line, with its echo morphology successively developing through bow-shaped, herringbone, and bow-shaped structures. (2) Compared with the systematic rainfall stage, stratiform precipitation during the warm-sector stage has a smaller mass-weighted average diameter (Dm) and a larger generalized intercept parameter (log10Nw), whereas warm-sector convective precipitation has a larger Dm and a comparable log10Nw. These distinct raindrop size distribution characteristics between the two stages lead to significant differences in the fitted Z-R relationships. (3) Among the five types of heavy precipitation objectively classified by the K-means raindrop size distribution classification algorithm, the occurrence frequency of the two types with “low concentration and large diameter” during the warm-sector rainfall stage is significantly higher than that during the systemic rainfall stage. This was primarily attributed to the higher strong echo top heights and more active ice-phase microphysical processes associated with warm-sector rainfall. The results reveal the differences in raindrop size distribution characteristics during different stages of the low-vortex heavy precipitation process, which can provide a scientific reference for subsequent precipitation retrieval using radar data.

     

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