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东北地区不同天气型极端短时强降水的时空分布及环境参数特征

Spatio-temporal distributions and environmental characteristics of extreme short-time heavy rainfall associated with different synoptic patterns over Northeast China

  • 摘要: 为了解东北地区50 mm·h−1以上的极端短时强降水(extreme short-time heavy rainfall, EHR)的天气特征,基于2017—2024年气象观测站和ERA5再分析资料,采用主观天气分型方法将东北地区EHR分为5类天气型,对比分析不同天气型EHR的时空分布和环境参数特征,得到以下结论:不同天气型EHR出现次数由多到少依次为冷涡型、副热带高压(以下简称副高)型、西风槽型、台风型和弱天气尺度强迫型。冷涡型EHR的雨强比其他天气型EHR更强,持续时间更长,范围也更大。东北地区各省份均为冷涡型EHR占比最高,副高型与台风型EHR占比东高西低、南高北低,而弱天气尺度强迫型EHR则相反。副高型和台风型EHR最频繁发生在8月,并具有夜间峰值的日变化特征;其他天气型EHR最频繁发生在7月,且常发生在午后。冷涡型、西风槽型和弱天气尺度强迫型EHR发生在水汽条件相对较低的环境,但静力不稳定更强、中层干空气更明显。台风型、副高型EHR发生在更暖湿、近地面相对湿度更高、强低空急流和强垂直风切变的环境中。相比于20~50 mm·h−1的短时强降水,各天气型EHR均发生在对流有效位能更高和近地面相对湿度更湿的环境中。本文初步归纳了东北地区不同天气系统影响下EHR的时空分布和环境参数,可为提升东北地区EHR的预报能力提供依据。

     

    Abstract: To understand the weather characteristics of extreme short-duration heavy rainfall (EHR, defined as hourly rainfall ≥50 mm) in Northeast China, this study utilizes meteorological observation station observations and ERA5 reanalysis data from 2017 to 2024. By employing a subjective synoptic classification, EHR events are classified into five categories to comparatively analyze their spatiotemporal distributions and environmental characteristics under different synoptic patterns. The results are as follows. The frequency of EHR occurrences in Northeast China decreases in the following order: cold vortex, Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) periphery, westerly trough, typhoon, and weak-synoptic forcing type. Compared to other EHR types, the cold vortex-type EHR exhibits stronger rainfall intensity, longer duration, and broader spatial coverage. In all provinces, the cold vortex-type EHR accounts for the highest proportion. The proportions of the WPSH and typhoon types exhibit clear spatial gradients, with higher frequencies in the east and south than in the west and north, whereas the weak synoptic forcing type shows the opposite pattern. The WPSH and typhoon types occur most frequently in August, and at night. while other types occur most frequently in July and in the afternoon. The cold vortex, westerly trough, and weak synoptic forcing types occur in conditions with relatively lower moisture, but are characterized by stronger static instability and more pronounced mid-level dry air. In contrast, the typhoon and WPSH types occur in warmer, moister environments with higher near-surface relative humidity, stronger low-level jets, and vertical wind shear. Compared to short-duration heavy rainfall (20~50 mm·h-1), all EHR types occur in environments with higher convective available potential energy (CAPE) and higher near-surface relative humidity. These results provide a preliminary characterization of the spatiotemporal distributions and environmental parameters of EHR in Northeast China under the influence of different synoptic systems, providing a basis for improving EHR forecasting in the region.

     

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