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基于湿C矢量的青海东部春季一次极端降水个例演变过程诊断

Evolution of an extreme precipitation case over eastern Qinghai in Spring based on the moist C-Vector diagnosis

  • 摘要: 2024年4月16—21日青海全省经历了一次降水过程,强降水主要集中于青海东部,8个国家级气象观测站(简称国家站)日降水量超过95百分位极端阈值。基于国家站观测资料和ERA5再分析资料,采用湿C矢量诊断方法从非地转运动的视角,对该极端降水个例的演变过程进行研究。结果表明:本次极端降水发生在200 hPa高空急流入口区南侧、500 hPa高原低涡低压槽前的背景环流下,具有降水时间集中,降水强度大,发展和衰减迅速的特征。湿C矢量诊断表明,极端降水初始阶段,仅在对流层低层存在上升运动,主要由水汽凝结产生的非绝热效应驱动;而此时对流层高层主要表现为绝热效应产生的下沉运动。极端降水的迅速发展源于对流层高层的绝热效应所驱动的上升运动。高原低涡受到水汽凝结的非绝热效应迅速发展,激发出纬向次级环流,其下沉支影响降水关键区,导致极端降水迅速衰减。高空急流发展北移,消除了对流层高层绝热抽吸的有利条件,致使极端降水结束。该研究结果从非地转运动的角度揭示了绝热效应和非绝热效应驱动极端降水演变的过程,并量化了二者的贡献,为未来深入发掘湿C矢量的应用价值提供参考。

     

    Abstract: From April 16 to 21, 2024, Qinghai Province experienced a precipitation process, with the rainfalls mainly concentrated in the eastern part of Qinghai. 8 national meteorological stations recorded daily precipitation exceeding their extreme thresholds. Based on observational data from China's national surface meteorological stations and ERA5 reanalysis data, this study examines this extreme precipitation event, revealing its evolution from the perspective of ageostrophic motion by the moist C-vector. Results show that this precipitation process occurred on the south side of the entrance region of the 200 hPa upper-level jet stream and ahead of the trough associated with the 500 hPa Tibetan Plateau vortex, featuring a long duration, high intensity, and rapid development and decay. Diagnosis based on the moist C-vector reveals that within the key precipitation area, the ascending motion forced by diabatic heating from moisture uplift and condensation is mainly located in the lower troposphere, driving the occurrence of extreme precipitation. While the descending motion, forced by adiabatic effects, prevailed in the upper troposphere at the same time. The ascending motion in the upper troposphere is driven by the adiabatic effect of the upper-level jet, leading to rapid development of the precipitation. The plateau vortex develops rapidly due to the diabatic heating effect of moisture condensation, exciting a zonal secondary circulation, whose descending branch affects the key precipitation area, causing rapid decay of the extreme precipitation; the northward development and shift of the upper-level jet remove the favorable conditions for adiabatic suction in the upper troposphere, ultimately ending the extreme precipitation. The study reveals the process of the adiabatic and diabatic effects driving the precipitation based on the perspective of the ageostrophic motion, and quantifies the contribution of the above two. The potential forewarning value of the moist C-vector is also discovered, providing a reference for further exploring its application in the future.

     

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