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黄河流域夏季6—8月极端强降水的主要环流型

Characteristics of the synoptic conditions of summer extreme heavy precipitation in the Yellow River Basin

  • 摘要: 黄河流域极端强降水主要集中在夏季6—8月,开展该流域夏季极端强降水大尺度环流特征研究对提高其气候预测准确率和防灾减灾能力具有重要意义。使用1961—2017年黄河流域247个地面气象观测站夏季逐日降水资料,首先分析该流域区域性极端强降水事件的分布特征;再根据500 hPa主导环流系统,将影响该流域夏季区域性极端强降水的典型环流形势分为阻塞型、低槽型、台风外围型,并对其中的阻塞型、低槽型极端强降水发生时的环流特征及其水汽输送、前期演变特征进行了分析。结果表明:(1) 近57 a来黄河流域夏季极端强降水阈值自西向东、自北向南逐渐加大,而极端降水次数上游源头地区较其他地区多。(2) 阻塞型和低槽型极端强降水的200 hPa纬向风距平分布特征相似,其距平在20°—55°N范围自北向南均呈“- + -”分布;其500 hPa环流特征差异较大,在欧亚中高纬地区低槽型以纬向环流为主,阻塞型以径向环流为主,前者30°—65°N范围多小槽小脊活动,后者低纬地区为正高度距平控制。(3) 阻塞型极端强降水的水汽主要来自印度洋和太平洋,低槽型的水汽主要来自太平洋和南海。(4) 造成阻塞型极端强降水的阻塞高压以原地发展为主,其发生前1~2周就能捕捉到阻塞高压发生发展信号;造成低槽型极端强降水的低槽以移动性为主,其初始信号出现在极端强降水前7 d左右,强信号出现在极端强降水前2~3 d。

     

    Abstract: Extreme heavy precipitation in the Yellow River basin mainly occurred between June and August in summer. It is of great significance for improving climate prediction and preventing and reducing disaster events to study the characteristics of synoptic conditions of extreme heavy precipitation in summer in this basin. Using the daily precipitation data in summer at the 247 ground-based meteorological stations in the Yellow River basin from 1961 to 2017, we first analyze the distribution characteristics of regional extreme heavy precipitation events in this basin. Second,according to the dominant circulation systems at 500 hPa,the typical circulation patterns affecting regional extreme heavy precipitation in summer in this basin are classified into the blocking type,the low-trough type,and the typhoon-peripheral type. The characteristics of extreme heavy precipitation,water vapor transport and evolution,and circulation under the blocking type and low-trough type of synoptic conditions before the events are analyzed. The results show that (1) the thresholds of extreme heavy precipitation in summer in the Yellow River basin gradually increase from the east to the west and from the north to the south during past 57 years. The frequency of extreme heavy precipitation in the upstream area is higher than that in other areas. (2) The distribution characteristics of zonal wind anomalies at 200 hPa are similar for the blocking-type and low-trough type synoptic conditions,whose anomalies show a "- + -" pattern in the range of 20°-55°N from the north to the south. Their circulation patterns at 500 hPa vary greatly,with the low-trough type dominated by the zonal circulation and the blocking type dominated by the meridional circulation in the mid- and high- latitudes of Eurasia. The former has many small troughs and ridges in the range of 30°-65°N,while the latter is controlled by positive geopotential height anomalies in the low latitudes. (3) The water vapor of blocking-type synoptic condition mainly comes from the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Ocean,while that of the low-trough type mainly comes from the Pacific Ocean and the South China Sea. (4) The blocking high that causes extreme heavy precipitation mainly develops locally,and the signal of its development can be captured 1-2 weeks before its occurrence. The trough that causes extreme heavy precipitation mainly moves,and its initial signal and strong signal appear about 7 d and 2-3 d before the occurrence of extreme heavy precipitation,respectively.

     

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