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基于多源资料的四川盆地西部一次持续性极端暴雨过程分析

Analysis of a sustained extreme rainstorm event in western Sichuan Basin by using multi-source data

  • 摘要: 利用常规观测、FY-4A TBB资料和ERA5再分析资料,从环流背景、中尺度特征、水汽和动力条件、能量和不稳定条件等方面,对2020年8月14—18日发生在四川盆地西部的一次持续性极端暴雨过程进行分析。结果表明:西太平洋副热带高压稳定少动,导致高原低槽东移受阻而稳定维持在四川盆地西部,中低层有切变线和急流维持,配合地面冷空气南下,为持续性极端暴雨提供了有利的环流背景。中尺度对流云团生成、合并、加强,受地形阻挡及副热带高压外围气流、切变线和中尺度低涡的持续影响,对流云团强中心维持在四川盆地西部,是暴雨过程的直接影响系统。暴雨水汽来源于孟加拉湾和西太平洋,在地形辐合抬升作用下,四川盆地西部形成强水汽辐合中心,暴雨过程中各水汽物理量呈现极端性,为持续性极端暴雨的产生提供了充足的水汽条件。暴雨区上空始终有气流辐合与正涡度发展,有利于垂直上升运动加强;暴雨区位于假相当位温密集的锋区中,锋区的动力强迫有利于能量和水汽向上输送,使暴雨区持续维持高能、高湿环境,雨区上空有广义湿位涡异常。暴雨区位势不稳定主要由其散度分量造成,代表水平散度和位势稳定度的耦合作用,位势散度正值区由散度分量和垂直风切变分量共同决定,850 hPa位势散度高值区与强降雨落区有较好对应。

     

    Abstract: Based on the conventional observation data, FY-4A TBB data, and ERA5 reanalysis data, a sustained extreme rainstorm event occurred in the western Sichuan Basin from August 14 to 18, 2020 was analyzed from the aspects of circulation background, mesoscale characteristics, water vapor and dynamic conditions, energy and instability conditions, etc. The results are as follows. The rainstorm was caused by the stable and limited movement of the western Pacific subtropical high, which blocked the eastward movement of the plateau low-trough and kept it stable in the western basin. At the same time, the shear line and jet stream were maintained in the middle and lower levels, and the surface cold air moving southward provides a favorable circulation background for the continuous extreme rainstorm. The formation, merging, and strengthening of mesoscale convective cloud clusters were affected by the topographic barrier, peripheral airflow of subtropical high, the shear line, and mesoscale low vortex. The strong center of the convective cloud cluster was maintained in the western part of the basin, which was the direct influence system of the rainstorm event. The rainstorm water vapor originated from the Bay of Bengal and the western Pacific Ocean. Under the influence of the topographic convergence uplift, a strong water vapor convergence center was formed in the western part of the basin. The each water vapor physical quantity in the rainstorm event presents extreme characteristics, providing sufficient water vapor conditions for the generation of continuous extreme rainstorm. Convergence and positive vorticity were developed throughout the rainstorm over the rainstorm area, which favored the enhancement of vertical upward movement. The rainstorm area was located in the frontal area of dense pseudo-equivalent potential temperature, and the dynamic forcing of the frontal area was beneficial to the upward transport of energy and water vapor, which made the rainstorm area maintain a high-energy and high-humidity environment continuously. The generalized wet potential vorticity anomalies were also found over the rainstorm area. The instability of the rainstorm area potential was mainly caused by its divergence component, which represented the coupling effect of horizontal divergence and potential stability. The positive divergence of potential was determined by the divergence component and the vertical wind shear component. The 850 hPa area with a high potential divergence value corresponded well with the heavy precipitation area.

     

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