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IMERG降水产品在2021年台风“烟花”降水过程的检验分析

Verification and analysis of IMERG during the precipitation process of Typhoon In-Fa in 2021

  • 摘要: 为研究多卫星联合反演(Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for GPM,IMERG)降水产品对台风降水的适用性,以2021年台风“烟花”为例,利用我国东部地区563个国家气象站小时降水资料、FY-4A AGRI红外亮温资料和全球测雨卫星双频测雨雷达(GPM DPR)资料,检验IMERG估测降水的能力,并分析误差形成的原因。结果表明:IMERG估测降水与实况相比空间一致性较好,相关系数达0.75。IMERG降水产品整体表现出一致的低估,但不同雨强表现不同,随着降水强度增大,其低估程度随之增大。IMERG降水产品对弱降水存在略高估。对于10 mm·h-1以下的降水,IMERG估测值略大于实测值;对于40 mm·h-1以上的强降水,IMERG估测值明显小于实测值。由最小二乘法计算的IMERG估测值和实测值计算的直线处于对角线下方可知,整体而言IMERG估测值小于实测值。IMERG融合降水产品中红外反演降水的误差比微波反演的更大,小时降水量的均方根误差为7.8 mm,并且忽略了台风“烟花”中的暖云降水。微波反演不同类型降水的精度存在差异,对粒子数浓度参数(dBNw)和粒子有效半径(D0)较为集中的层状降水反演效果优于dBNwD0较为分散的对流降水。红外和微波反演的强降水均比实况偏小,导致IMERG估测降水值亦偏小。

     

    Abstract: To study the applicability of the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) precipitation products to typhoon precipitation, taking Typhoon In-Fa in 2021 as an example, this paper evaluates the IMERG precipitation estimation capabilities and the cause of errors using hourly precipitation data from 563 national meteorological stations in the eastern region of China, FY-4A AGRI infrared brightness temperature data, and Global Precipitation Measurement Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar (GPM DPR) data. The results indicate that IMERG precipitation estimation shows good spatial consistency compared to observations, with a correlation coefficient of 0.75. IMERG precipitation products exhibit an overall consistent underestimation, the performance varies with different precipitation intensities, As precipitation intensity increases, the degree of underestimation also grows. IMERG products slightly overestimate weak precipitation. For precipitation below 10 mm·h-1, IMERG estimations are slightly larger than the observations, but for precipitation above 40 mm·h-1, IMERG estimations are significantly smaller than the observations. However, an overall underestimation of the IMERG products can be indicated that the line was below the diagonal, which calculated by the least square method between the IMERG estimations and observations. The error of infrared-derived precipitation within IMERG is larger than that from microwave retrieval, with a root mean square error of7.8 mm for hourly precipitation, and it overlooks warm cloud precipitation in Typhoon In-Fa. The accuracy of microwave retrieval for different types of precipitation also varies, which shows better performance in stratiform precipitation with concentrated particle number concentration (dBNw) and particle effective radius (D0) compared to convective precipitation with dispersed dBNw and D0. The high-intensity precipitation estimates retrieved from both infrared and microwave are weaker than those of observations, resulting in underestimated precipitation by IMERG precipitation estimations.

     

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