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贵州铜仁一次持续性暴雨水汽收支定量分析

Quantitative analysis of water vapor budget of a persistent rainstrom event in Tongren of Guizhou Province

  • 摘要: 基于混合单粒子拉格朗日综合轨迹模式(版本4)(Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model, HYSPLIT4),利用降水观测数据、ERA5和NCEP GDAS (National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Global Data Assimilation System)再分析数据,分析2014年7月13—16日铜仁持续性暴雨过程的水汽输送、收支和各水汽源地的定量贡献。结果表明:(1)东伸的南亚高压和高低空急流的耦合作用增强了低层辐合、高层辐散的动力机制,利于水汽在目标区域辐合上升、凝结,形成降水。(2)500 hPa稳定控制贵州南部以南地区的副热带高压、短波槽和低纬印度半岛的热带气旋协同作用,建立明显的水汽输送通道,使海上的水汽源源不断地输送到暴雨区。(3)后向追踪120 h发现,暴雨区空气块主要来自阿拉伯海、孟加拉湾和南海,所处高度较低;少量空气块来自铜仁以北至欧亚大陆、大西洋,所处高度较高。(4)影响铜仁暴雨的水汽源地为铜仁以南-南海及附近岛屿和海域、印度半岛东部-孟加拉湾、阿拉伯海-印度半岛西部,水汽贡献率分别为48.29%、32.17%和10.47%,铜仁以北至欧亚大陆、大西洋的贡献率为9.07%。(5)850 hPa和700 hPa为主要的水汽输送层,为暴雨区贡献了近3/4的水汽,其余1/4水汽由500 hPa输送。

     

    Abstract: This paper focus on revealing the features of the water vapor transport, water vapor budget and the contribution percentage of water vapor source regions of the persistent rainstorm in Tongren from July 13th to 16th, 2014 based on precipitation observation data, ERA5 and NCEP GDAS (National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Global Data Assimilation System) reanalysis data and the HYSPLIT4 (Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model) mode. The results show that: (1) the eastward South Asian High and coupling mechanism of high and low level jets enhanced the dynamic mechanism of convergence at low level and divergence at high level which is conducive to the convergence of water vapor in the target region to condense and then form precipitation. (2) The water vapor over the ocean was continuously transported to the rainstorm area by the water vapor channel built by the synergistic effect of the subtropical high which table controlled the south of Guizhou province, shortwave trough lay the northwest side of subtropical high, and tropical cyclone in the Indian Peninsula at 500 hPa. (3) The air particles in the rainstorm area mainly came from the Arabian Sea, the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea at a lower height, while a few particles came from the north of Tongren to Eurasia, the Atlantic Ocean at a higher height by 120 h backward trajectory simulation. (4) The contribution percentage of water vapor source regions of the south of Tongren-South China Sea and its nearby islands and water, the east of the Indian Peninsula-the Bay of Bengal, the Arabian Sea-the west of the Indian Peninsula were 48.29%, 32.17 % and 10.47% respectively. In addition, the water vapor the north of Tongren to Eurasia and the Atlantic Ocean also contributed to the rainstorm in Tongren (9.07%). (5) 850 hPa and 700 hPa were the main water vapor contribution levels which provided nearly 3/4 of water vapor to the rainstorm area, the remaining quarter was transported by 500 hPa.

     

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