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宁波两次下击暴流的环境条件与多普勒雷达特征对比分析

A comparative study on environmental conditions and doppler radar echo characteristics of two downburst events in Ningbo

  • 摘要: 2022年7月12日和17日宁波发生了两次由下击暴流引起的13级和12级雷暴大风事件,其中“7·17”过程还造成重大人员伤亡。利用常规探空和地面观测数据、1 min加密自动站观测数据、多普勒天气雷达资料以及ERA5再分析资料,对这两次下击暴流发生的环境条件、雷达回波特征演变等进行对比分析。结果表明:(1) 两次过程发生的环境条件有明显差异。“7·12”过程发生在弱天气尺度强迫和弱垂直风切变条件下,海陆风辐合和热力抬升共同触发了强对流风暴的发生和发展;“7·17”过程则发生在前倾槽背景下的“上干冷、下暖湿”的大气环境中,天气尺度强迫和低层垂直风切变比12日更显著。(2) 两次过程的大气层结都具有显著的中层干层和较高的0~3 km温度垂直递减率,中层干空气侵入是产生下击暴流的主要原因之一。(3) “7·12”过程中孤立的对流单体产生阵风锋,阵风锋移动过程中触发一系列脉冲风暴,导致系列微下击暴流;“7·17”过程是多单体风暴在合并加强过程中产生了宏下击暴流。两次过程均表现为反射率因子质心快速下降、45 dBz回波顶坍塌现象,其中“7·12”过程回波质心下降速度更快。

     

    Abstract: Thunderstorms with wind gusts of magnitude 13 and 12 caused by downburst storms occurred in Ningbo on July 12 and 17, 2022 (referred to as the “7.12” event and “7.17” event, respectively). The “7.17” event caused significant casualties. A comparative analysis of environment conditions and Doppler radar echo characteristics of the two downburst events is carried out by using multi-source data from S-band Doppler radar, conventional sounding and surface observation data, 1-minute high-resolution automatic station observation data, and ERA5 reanalysis data. Results show that: (1) Environmental weather conditions differ significantly between the two events. The “7.12” event occurred under weak synoptic-scale forcing and weak vertical wind shears. Convergences related to sea breezes and thermal uplifts triggered the occurrence and development of strong convections. However, the “7.17” event occurred under unstable layers with “lower warm-wet and upper cold-dry” conditions, which was related to forward tilting troughs. It displayed more significant synoptic-scale forcing and low-level vertical wind shears on 17 July than on 12 July. (2) Both processes showed significant mid-level dry layers and high vertical lapse rates from 0 to 3 km. The intrusion of mid-level dry air was one of the main reasons for the generation of downburst storms. (3) During the “7.12” event, a series of pulsive storms, along with moving gust fronts, triggered multiple micro downbursts and extreme winds. However, during the “7.17” event, the outbreak of macro downbursts and extreme winds resulted from the merging and intensification of multiple storms. In both events, radar echo characteristics showed a decrease in reflectivity core and collapse of 45 dBz echo-top. The descent rate of the reflectivity core on 12 July was faster than that on 17 July.

     

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