高级搜索

气溶胶效应对北京一次暴雨过程影响的数值模拟研究

Numerical analysis of aerosol effects on a heavy precipitation event in Beijing

  • 摘要: 人为气溶胶对夏季强降水有重要影响,但其影响程度和相关机理仍具有极大不确定性。以2020年8月12—13日发生在北京的一次区域性暴雨过程为例,利用耦合了气溶胶-气象相互作用的WRF-Chem模式,基于敏感性试验探究了气溶胶直接效应、间接效应与总效应对此次暴雨过程的影响及机制。结果表明:(1) 降水第一阶段(8月12日15∶00—18∶00) (北京时,下同),由于气溶胶对太阳辐射的消光及对云粒子的影响,气溶胶直接效应、间接效应和总效应均使得北京城区小时雨强减少,最大依次减少6 mm·h-1、1 mm·h-1和4 mm·h-1。(2) 降水第二阶段(8月12日20∶00—13日04∶00),气溶胶直接和间接效应也均使北京城区小时雨强减少,最大均减少约4 mm·h-1,气溶胶总效应对小时雨强影响不大,但使降水时间滞后。总体上,气溶胶直接效应使暖云过程增强、冷云过程减弱,从而减少降水并使第二阶段强降水过程提前;气溶胶间接效应使雨滴的有效半径降低,从而降低碰并过程,减少降水,并推迟第二阶段强降水的发生时间;气溶胶总效应对降水的影响是气溶胶直接和间接效应共同的非线性影响结果,在降水第一阶段以直接效应为主,第二阶段则以间接效应为主。

     

    Abstract: Anthropogenic aerosols have an important impact on summer heavy precipitation, but their impact and associated mechanisms are still greatly uncertain. In this study, the WRF-Chem including the aerosol-meteorology interactions was used to investigate the effects and possible mechanisms of aerosol direct, indirect, and total effects on a heavy rainfall event that occurred in Beijing during August 12—13, 2020. The results are as follows. (1) In the first stage of the precipitation (15∶00—18∶00 BT on August 12), due to the aerosol effects on solar radiation and cloud nuclei, the aerosol direct, indirect, and total effects all decrease the hourly precipitation intensity in the Beijing urban area, with a maximum reduction of 6 mm·h-1, 1 mm·h-1, and 4 mm·h-1, respectively. (2) In the second stage (20∶00 BT on August 12 to 04∶00 BT on August 13), both aerosol direct and indirect effects decrease the hourly precipitation intensity, with a maximum reduction of about 4 mm·h-1. The aerosol total effect has little impact on the hourly precipitation intensity but delays the precipitation time. Generally, the aerosol direct effect enhances the warm cloud process while weakening the cold cloud process, thus decreasing the precipitation and advancing the strong precipitation process in the second precipitation stage. The aerosol indirect effect decreases the effective radius of rain, thereby reducing the merging process and precipitation, and delaying the onset of heavy precipitation during the second precipitation stage. The aerosol total effect on precipitation is a nonlinear result of both aerosol direct and indirect effects, with the direct effect dominating in the first stage of precipitation and the indirect effect dominating in the second stage of precipitation.

     

/

返回文章
返回