高级搜索

2024年2月初河南一次罕见雨雪冰冻过程诊断分析

Diagnostic analysis of a rare rainfall/snowfall and freezing process in Henan in early February 2024

  • 摘要: 2024年1月31日-2月5日河南出现了一次罕见的雨雪冰冻天气,表现为持续时间长、累积雨雪量大、积雪深、温度低、降水相态复杂等特点。利用国家气象站和双偏振雷达观测数据以及ERA5再分析资料,对本次过程的极端性及降水相态演变、雨雪冰冻成因进行了诊断分析,结果表明:(1) 过程期间有5个国家气象站最大积雪深度达到或突破2月历史同期极值,多站最高气温达到或刷新2月上旬历史同期最小值;单日至少有68.3%的国家气象站出现降水,单站最长连续降水近29 h。(2) 大尺度环流系统稳定维持是本次过程发生发展的重要原因之一;对流层低层强冷空气持续入侵不仅起到动力抬升作用,也为雨雪冰冻天气提供了持续降温条件;异常强盛的偏南气流为本次过程提供了充足的水汽和动量,同时也增强了不稳定层结。(3) 使用单一特性层温度来判识降水相态依据不足,应根据整层大气层结温度来预判可能出现的降水相态,当整层大气温度均低于0 ℃时降水相态为纯雪,若存在温度高于0 ℃的融化层或云体由过冷却水滴组成时,将出现混合型降水相态。(4) 双偏振雷达的相关系数和差分反射率产品对区分雨夹雪和纯雪有较好的指示意义,当相关系数接近1、差分反射率为-1~0 dB时,为纯雪;当相关系数小于1、差分反射率大于1 dB时,为雨夹雪。

     

    Abstract: From 31 January to 5 February, 2024, Henan Province experienced a rare freezing rain and snow process characterized by a long duration,substantial cumulative precipitation,significant snow depth,low temperatures,and complex precipitation phases.Based on the national meteorological observation data,dual-polarization radar data,and hourly reanalysis data of ERA5,a diagnostic analysis of the event's extremity,phase evolution,and causes of the freezing rain and snow was conducted.The results are as follows.During the process,5 national meteorological stations reached or exceeded the maximum snow depth of the historical records in February.At many stations,the minimum temperature has reached or set a new historical record in early February.Precipitation was observed from at least 68.3% of national meteorological observation stations in a single day,with the longest continuous precipitation at a single station being nearly 29 hours.The stable maintenance of a large-scale circulation system was one of the main reasons for this process.The persistent intrusion of the strong cold air in the lower troposphere provided both dynamic uplift and sustained cooling conditions for the freezing rain and snow process.Exceptionally strong southerly airflow provided ample moisture and momentum,enhancing unstable stratification.For precipitation phase identification,relying solely on a single-layer temperature is insufficient.Instead,the entire atmospheric layer temperature should be considered to predict possible precipitation phases.When the entire atmospheric layer temperature is below 0℃,precipitation is pure snow.If there is a melting layer or the cloud consists of supercooled water droplets,mixed precipitation will occur.Dual-polarization radar's correlation coefficient and differential reflectivity products are useful for distinguishing between sleet and pure snow.A correlation coefficient close to 1 and differential reflectivity between-1 and 0 dB indicates pure snow,while a correlation coefficient less than 1 and differential reflectivity greater than 1 dB indicate sleet.

     

/

返回文章
返回