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江西省“24·01”暴雪天气的锋生动力学分析

An analysis of the frontal dynamics of snowstorm during 21-23 January 2024 in Jiangxi Province

  • 摘要: 2024年1月21—23日江西省出现一次伴有回流天气形势的区域性极端暴雪天气过程,全省有91.2%国家站出现积雪,为1959年以来第一位;暴雪站数为1991年以来第一位。本文利用常规气象观测资料和ERA5再分析资料,主要对此次暴雪天气的环流形势、环境条件和锋生动力学机制进行分析,结果表明:(1) 本次暴雪天气发生前低层无逆温和冷垫;850 hPa存在来自海洋的东风暖湿回流;1 000—600 hPa比湿均为3~4 g·kg−1,水汽充沛;(2) 1月22日02时—20时,江西省中北部500 hPa到地面之间长时间处于暖湿状态,700 hPa锋生强度大值中心由湖南省中部向东北方向延伸至江西中北部地区,并逐渐增强,有利于垂直上升运动发展;700 hPa假相当位温(θse)维持在340~348 K的高值状态;900—800 hPa高度附近存在θse密集区和锋生强度中心,低层回流水汽输送带中存在较强的垂直上升运动。(3) 暴雪过程中存在条件性对称不稳定,850 hPa的ζMPV1≥1 PVU的区域从江西省南部地区向东北方向伸展,强度也逐渐加强;全省斜压项ζMPV2<0 PVU低值中心与ζMPV1重合。垂直方向上,江西省北部产生不稳定能量的高度大约在700 hPa,江西省南部高度在900 hPa。时空分布特征与暴雪落区有较好的对应关系。

     

    Abstract: A regional extreme snowstorm occurred in Jiangxi Province from 21 to 23 January 2024, accompanied by a return-flow weather pattern. The proportion of national meteorological stations experiencing snow accumulation reached 91.2%, the highest since 1959. The number of national meteorological stations with heavy snowfall were the greatest since 1991. Base on meteorological observation data and ERA5 reanalysis data, the circulation background, environmental conditions, and frontogenesis dynamical mechanisms of the return flow snowstorm was analyzed. The result are as follows. (1) Before the heavy snowfall event, the temperature gradually decreased from the lower to the middle atmosphere, with no inversion or cold layer observed. Warm-moist easterly return flow prevailed at 850 hPa. The specific humidity was 3–4 g·kg−1 between 1,000 and 600 hPa. (2) The central and northern regions of Jiangxi Province exhibited prolonged warm and humid conditions between 500 hPa and the surface from 02:00 to 20:00 on January 22, 2024. The frontal genesis intensity at 700 hPa exhibited a high-value center extending northeastward from central Hunan to central-northern Jiangxi, with gradual intensification, promoting enhanced vertical upward motion. The pseudo-equivalent potential temperature (θse) at 700 hPa remained elevated (340–348 K), while a dense θse zone and frontal genesis center were observed near the 900–800 hPa level. Additionally, strong vertical ascent was identified within the low-level moisture transport belt in the return flow. These conditions contributed to favorable dynamic and thermodynamic environments for convective development. (3) During the snowstorm event, conditional symmetric instability was present. The area with MPV1≥1 PVU at 850 hPa extended northeastward from southern Jiangxi Province with gradually intensifying strength. The baroclinic term MPV2<0 PVU showed a low-value center that coincided with the MPV1 region. Vertically, the height of unstable energy generation was approximately at 700 hPa in northern Jiangxi and around 900 hPa in southern Jiangxi. The spatiotemporal distribution characteristics exhibited good correspondence with the snowstorm-affected areas.

     

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