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2023年重庆长滩镇“7.4”局地特大暴雨的中尺度对流系统特征和成因

Characteristics and causes of mesoscale convective system of the "7.4" local extremely heavy rainstorm in Changtan Town, Chongqing in 2023

  • 摘要: 2023年7月3日14时至4日14时(北京时,下同),重庆市万州区长滩镇发生局地特大暴雨,且4日凌晨连续4 h超过40 mm的小时强降雨,引发了地质灾害、造成人员伤亡。本文利用地面气象站、FY-4A卫星、多普勒天气雷达、CLDAS融合资料和ERA5再分析等多源资料,研究了此次局地特大暴雨形成的环流背景、环境条件、中尺度对流系统(MCS)特征和成因,总结了影响此次过程的关键因子与概念模型。结果表明:(1) 在西太平洋副热带高压东退过程中,其外围的暖湿气流与高空冷槽交汇,形成稳定维持的低涡切变线,为中小尺度对流系统发生、发展提供了有利的动力和水汽辐合条件,同时高不稳定能量舌为强降雨提供了必要的热力条件。(2) 万州区西部小尺度对流云团和重庆西南部对流云团合并,进而发展成为导致万州区长滩镇强降雨的MCS;重庆中西部稳定维持的西南—东北走向的带状回波东移,与万州区西部对流单体合并增强,形成造成长滩镇短时强降雨的强回波“列车效应”。(3) 万州区东部七曜山地形有利于锋区动力抬升,增强了垂直上升运动和水汽聚集,同时与方斗山地形作用下形成的中尺度地形辐合线叠加,促使MCS稳定和增强,最终导致万州区长滩镇局地特大暴雨的发生。

     

    Abstract: A local extremely heavy rainstorm occurred in Changtan Town, Wanzhou District, Chongqing, from 14:00 BT on 3 to 14:00 BT on 4 July, 2023. Heavy rainfall exceeding 40 mm per hour persisted continuously for four consecutive hours between 04:00 BT and 08:00 BT on 4 July 2024. The rainfall eventually triggered severe geological disasters and resulted in casualties. Based on multi-source data including ground weather stations, FY-4A satellite, Doppler weather radar, CLDAS fusion data and ERA5 reanalysis data, this paper investigated the circulation background, environmental conditions, mesoscale convective system (MCS) characteristics and causes of this local extremely heavy rainstorm. The key factors and conceptual model influencing this process were summarized. The results are as follows. (1) During the eastward retreat of the subtropical high, the stably maintained low vortex shear line was formed by the warm and humid airflow around the subtropical high converging with the high-altitude cold trough, which provided favorable dynamic and moisture convergence conditions for the occurrence and development of mesoscale and microscale convective systems. Meanwhile, the high-instability energy tongue provided the necessary thermodynamic conditions for heavy rainfall. (2) The MCS was formed by the combination of the small scale convective cloud clusters in the west of Wanzhou and the convective cloud clusters in the southwest of Chongqing, which caused the heavy rainfall in Changtan Town, Wanzhou District. The local heavy rainstorm was mainly due to the "train effect", which was generated by the eastward movement of the stable and sustained "southwest northeast" oriented band echoes in the central and western parts of Chongqing and the convective cells in the western part of Wanzhou District merged and strengthened. (3) The topography effect of Qiyao Mountain in the east of Wanzhou was favorable for the dynamic lifting of the frontal zone, which enhanced the vertical uplift motion and water vapor aggregation. Moreover, the superposition effect of mesoscale topographic convergence line formed by Fangdou Mountain topography further promoted the stability maintenance and enhancement of MCS, ultimately triggering the local extreme rainstorm in Changtan Twon, Wanzhou District.

     

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