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甘肃“7·22”区域特大暴雨基本特征及成因初探

Analysis on the characteristics and causes of the "7·22" torrential rainfall event in Gansu Province

  • 摘要: 2024年7月22—24日,甘肃河东地区出现1961年以来最强区域性暴雨过程。本文利用地面自动气象观测站、探空、双偏振雷达等资料、融合降水产品和ERA5再分析资料对此次过程的降水实况、中尺度对流系统(MCS)的演变特征、环流形势和局地极端暴雨的中尺度成因进行了初步探讨,结果表明:(1) 此次过程强降雨范围广、持续时间长、累计降水量大,有显著极端性。中尺度对流系统具有后向传播和列车效应,生命史长,雷达回波呈低质心、高效率的暖云降水特征。(2) 受较强且稳定的西太平洋副热带高压和台风“派比安”共同影响,南海洋面至甘肃暴雨区形成一条强劲持久的水汽输送通道,使该地区大气可降水量极端正异常,标准化距平超过4σ;另外对流层低层中尺度低涡和高层南亚高压的强度异常形成了有利于上升运动发展的形势。(3) 位于陇山西、东两侧的定西通渭和平凉崇信两个特大暴雨中心因地形差异造成水汽输送、MCS触发、维持机制不同。通渭特大暴雨主要由喇叭口地形和对流层低层低涡系统相叠加造成的水汽强烈辐合抬升所致,水汽辐合集中在800 hPa,对流系统整体发展高度不高;崇信特大暴雨出现在低空急流发展越过陇山后,由低空急流左侧风速切变、急流轴风速脉动及低空急流与高低空系统耦合动力抬升共同作用形成的深厚对流系统维持造成,水汽辐合集中在700 hPa。在两个特大暴雨中心强降水过程中,中等强度对流有效位能(CAPE)和对流不稳定为暴雨中尺度对流系统长时间维持提供有利的不稳定条件。

     

    Abstract: The Hedong region of Gansu Province experienced the strongest regional rainstorm rrom 22 to 24 July 2024, since 1961. Based on observations from automatic weather stations, radiosondes, dual-polarization radar, merged precipitation products, and ERA5 reanalysis data, this study preliminarily investigates the precipitation characteristics, evolution of mesoscale convective systems (MCS), synoptic conditions, and mesoscale mechanisms of localized extreme rainstorm. The results are as follows. (1) The event featured extensive heavy rainfall, prolonged duration, and record-breaking accumulations, exhibiting remarkable extremity. The MCS displayed backward propagation and a "train effect," with a long lifespan. Radar echoes indicated warm-rain processes characterized by low centroid heights and high precipitation efficiency. (2) Under the combined influence of the strong and Stable Estern Acific Ubtropical High and Typhoon "Prapiroon", an intense and persistent moisture transport channel extended from the South China Sea to the southeastern Gansu rainstorm area. This led to extreme positive anomalies in precipitable water (standardized anomalies exceeding 4σ), serving as the primary factor. Additionally, anomalous intensification of a mesoscale low vortex in the lower troposphere and the South Asian High in the upper troposphere created favorable conditions for sustained upward motion. (3) The Longshan Mountains induced distinct moisture transport pathways and convective triggering mechanisms at the two extreme rainfall centers (Dingxi Tongwei and Pingliang Chongxin) on its western and eastern flanks. The Tongwei rainstorm resulted from intense moisture convergence and uplift driven by the combined effects of a horn-shaped topography and a lower-tropospheric vortex, with moisture convergence concentrated at 800 hPa and limited vertical development of convection. In contrast, the Chongxin rainstorm was maintained by deep convective systems triggered by wind shear on the left side of a low-level jet (LLJ), pulsations of the LLJ axis, and dynamic coupling between the LLJ and upper-level systems after the LLJ traversed the Longshan Mountains, with moisture convergence focused at 700 hPa. Moderate CAPE and convective instability provided favorable conditions for the prolonged maintenance of MCSs at both rainfall centers.

     

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