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华南持续性与短时极端强降水事件的形成机制对比研究

A Comparative Study on the Formation Mechanisms of Persistent and Short-Duration Extreme Heavy Rainfall Events in South China

  • 摘要: 本文基于ERA5再分析资料、中国自动气象站与NOAA气候预测中心卫星反演降水资料CMORPH (Climate Prediction Center Morphing Technique)融合的逐时降水量网格数据集,从环流背景、水汽输送、涡度收支等方面对比分析了华南沿海地区2011年6月29日极端持续性强降水事件与2013年4月25日极端短时强降水事件的降水特征以及其发生发展机制。结果表示,2011年6月29日极端持续性强降水事件伴随着稳定的低压天气系统,高空由涡旋主导,低空具有稳定的水汽输送带;而2013年4月25日极端短时强降水事件不具备稳定的天气系统,低空水汽输送少,但由于存在短时的强水汽辐合导致小时降水量大。此外,通过涡度收支方程得出2011年6月29日极端持续性强降水事件存在更大的正涡度收入,低空急流是低层涡度收入的关键,中层涡旋的生成加强是中层涡度收入的关键,同时两者的正反馈作用也是降水维持的重要因素。

     

    Abstract: Based on the hourly gridded precipitation product merged from the ERA5 reanalysis data, Chinese automatic weather stations, and the CMORPH (Climate Prediction Center Morphing Technique) product, this study analyzes the precipitation characteristics and formation mechanisms of the extreme persistent heavy precipitation event on June 29, 2011, and the extreme short-term heavy precipitation event on April 25, 2013, in the coastal area of South China. Through the comparative analysis of the differences in the weather circulation backgrounds, water vapor transportation, and vorticity budget of the two events, the results show that the extreme persistent heavy precipitation event on June 29, 2011, is accompanied by a stable low-pressure weather system, dominated by an upper-level vortex and a stable low-level water vapor transport. While the extreme short-term heavy precipitation event on April 25, 2013, did not have a stable weather system. The low-level water vapor transport is weak, but the hourly precipitation is large due to the presence of the short-duration strong water vapor convergence. In addition, from the vorticity budget equation, the extreme persistent precipitation event on June 29, 2011, has a greater positive vorticity gain, with the low-level jet being the key contributor to the low-level vorticity gain, while the generation and intensification of mid-level vortex is crucial for mid-level vorticity gain. The positive feedback from the above two processes is important in sustaining the precipitation.

     

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