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南岭地区汛期短时强降水的时空变化特征分析

Analysis of spatiotemporal characteristics of the short-duration heavy rainfall during the flood season in Nanling Mountain

  • 摘要: 南岭地势崎岖,其复杂的地形和地理位置加剧了强降水的局地性和突发性,汛期短时强降水对当地社会经济活动及人民的生命安全构成严重威胁。本文利用2013—2022年气象观测站逐时降水数据和ERA5再分析数据,将汛期分成晚春(4月)、初夏(5—6月)、盛夏(7—8月)、早秋(9月) 4个次季节,统计分析南岭地区汛期短时强降水时空变化特征,并探讨地形对降水的影响。研究结果表明:(1) 短时强降水呈现南侧多北侧少、东西两侧多中部少的特征,主要集中于越城岭南侧、都庞岭南侧、骑田岭西南侧和万洋山东侧及南侧,平均频数分别为89.1、64.7、49、52 次·(站·10 a)−1。短时强降水的平均降水强度空间差异较小,降水量与降水频数的空间分布一致。(2) 短时强降水季节变化显著,从晚春到初夏全研究区月平均降水频数由5.3 次·(站·10 a)−1增加到12.6次·(站·10 a)−1,越城岭南侧增加尤其突出,由11.1 次·(站·10 a)−1增加到23次·(站·10 a)−1。盛夏和早秋逐渐减少到8.6和3.7 次·(站·10 a)−1。(3) 南岭短时强降水主要存在清晨(03—06时)和午后(15—19时)两个日变化峰值,晚春以午夜至清晨为主,初夏越城岭南侧和都庞岭南侧维持清晨峰值,骑田岭西南侧和万洋山东侧及南侧降水峰值开始向午后到傍晚转变,盛夏除了越城岭南侧,南岭大部以午后短时强降水为主,早秋各区域短时强降水减少,午后峰值仍存在于骑田岭西南侧和万洋山东侧及南侧。(4) 随着季节从春向夏秋转换,清晨短时强降水减少、范围缩小,午后短时强降水增多、范围由东向西扩,这与环流系统季节性北移、东西太阳辐射差异等因素有关。(5) 南岭西段多发生清晨短时强降水,是由增强的西南气流和山脉迎风坡的抬升作用主导;而南岭东段多发生午后短时强降水,则源于太阳辐射加热作用形成的强热力不稳定。

     

    Abstract: Due to the rugged terrain, heavy precipitation in the Nanling Mountains exhibits localized and sudden features, which are intensified by its complex topography and geographical locations. The short-duration heavy rainfall during the flood season poses significant threats to local socio-economic activities and public safety. Hourly precipitation data from automatic meteorological stations and ERA5 reanalysis data from 2013 to 2022 were analyzed to divide the flood season into four sub-seasons, including late spring (April), early summer (May to June), midsummer (July to August), and early autumn (September). Then, the spatiotemporal characteristics of short-duration heavy precipitation during the flood season in the Nanling area and the effects of topography were investigated. The results are as follows. (1) Short-duration heavy rainfall exhibits a distinct spatial pattern in the Nanling region, showing more frequent occurrence on the southern slopes than the northern slopes, and more frequent on the eastern and western sides than the central part. It is mainly concentrated on four regions, the southern slopes of Yuechengling, Dupangling, the southwestern of Qitianling, and eastern and southern Wanyangshan, with average precipitation frequencies of 89.1, 64.7, 49, and 52 times (station·10a)−1, respectively. The average precipitation intensity of short-duration heavy rainfall shows minimal spatial variation, and precipitation amount is consistent with that of precipitation frequency patterns. (2) Seasonal variability is pronounced for short-duration heavy rainfall, increasing from late spring (5.3 times (station·10 a)−1) to early summer (12.6 times (station·10 a)−1). A particular increase is found on the southern sides of Yuechengling, from 11.1 to 23 times (station·10 a)−1. In midsummer and early autumn, the frequency decreases to 8.6 and 3.7 times (station·10 a)−1, respectively. (3) Diurnal peaks occur in the early morning (03:00—06:00) and afternoon (15:00—19:00) in the Nanling Mountains, while the peak mainly occurs from midnight to early morning in late spring. In early summer, early-morning peaks are found on the southern Yuechengling and Dupangling, while peak shifts to afternoon and evening on the southern Qitianling and eastern and southern sides of Wanyangshan. In midsummer, short-duration heavy rainfall mainly occurs in the afternoon except for the southern side of Yuechengling. In early autumn, short-duration heavy rainfall decreases in all regions, while the afternoon peak remains on the southern Qitianling and the eastern and southern sides of Wanyangshan. (4) Seasonal transition from spring to summer and autumn correlates with decreasing amount and coverage of short-duration heavy rainfall in the morning, but increasing afternoon events with the expansion from east to west. This is linked to the seasonal northward shift of circulation and east-west solar radiation gradients. (5) Morning short-duration heavy rainfall frequently appears in the western Nanling, which is possibly driven by enhanced southwesterly flows and orographic lifting. But afternoon short-duration heavy rainfall is more common in the eastern Nanling, possibly resulting from solar heating-induced thermal instability.

     

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