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华南沿海两个强降水雨团的动力和微物理结构模拟分析

Modeling and analysis of the dynamical and microphysical structures of two cellular rainstorms in South China coasts

  • 摘要: 华南沿海强降水对流系统多数具有非线状回波结构,对流强度差异大,对其动力和微物理结构认识不足。本文聚焦2017年5月7日凌晨广州极端降水事件中两个对流强度迥异的强降水雨团(以下简称“Storm1”和“Storm2”),利用WRF-Chem-Bin模式耦合多层城市冠层模型和建筑物能量模型进行3 km网格间距的模拟,成功再现了对流发展演变过程,基于模拟结果对比分析两个雨团的动力和微物理结构特征。结果表明:(1) Storm1呈现塔状上升气流和高层强烈出流的气流结构,格点最大上升速度达到11 m·s−1,位于7 km高度,在7 km和9—10 km高度分别产生了强烈的凇附和凝华过程;来自南海、经过城市热岛的边界层入流空气具有深厚的较大对流有效位能(CAPE),有助于雨团内部产生大范围正温度扰动和强热力有效浮力,促进对流增强。(2) Storm2的偏南入流空气的CAPE较小,最强上升运动达到8 m·s−1,位于约3 km高度,凇附和凝华较弱,但在融化层以下的凝结潜热释放远强于Storm1,这与Storm2中低层上升气流和其后部2 km高度以下的下沉气流组成的闭合环流关系密切;下沉气流增强了近地面偏北风冷出流,与边界层偏南气流形成强水平辐合中心,促进雨团低层上升运动的增强,反过来增强低层辐合,形成正反馈效应使对流迅速发展。

     

    Abstract: Most of the heavy rainfall-producing convective systems in coastal areas of South China exhibit a nonlinear echo shape, with a broad range of convective intensity. Their internal dynamical structures remain elusive. This study focuses on two nonlinear-shaped rainstorms (referred to as “Storm1” and “Storm2”) with distinctly different convective intensities during the extreme rainfall event influencing Guangzhou in the early morning of May 7, 2017. Using the WRF-Chem-Bin model with a 3 km grid spacing coupled with a multi-layer urban canopy model and a building energy model, the study successfully simulates the evolution of the two rainstorms. The dynamical and microphysical structures of the two rainstorms are analyzed using the simulation outputs. The results are as follows. (1) Storm1 presents a circulation pattern with tower-like updrafts and strong upper-level outflows. The maximum updraft velocity of 11 m·s−1 occurs at a height of 7 km, with strong riming and deposition processes occurring at about 7 km and between 9 and 10 km, respectively. The boundary layer inflows from the South China Sea, passing through the urban heat island, contain a substantial amount of convective available potential energy (CAPE), which helps generate widespread positive temperature anomalies and strong thermodynamic buoyancy inside Storm1, and thus promotes convective intensification. (2) The southerly inflow fed into Storm2 has lower CAPE. The maximum vertical velocity is about 8 m·s−1, but located at approximately 3 km height. The riming and deposition processes are much weaker, while the latent heat release from condensation below the melting layer is much stronger than in Storm1. This is closely related to the closed circulation formed by the mid-to-lower-level updrafts in Storm2 and the downdrafts below 2 km at its rear. The enhanced downdraft strengthens the near-surface northerly cold outflow, forming a strong horizontal convergence center with the southerly airflow in the boundary layer. This convergence promotes the enhancement of the low-level upward motion of the rainstorm, which in turn reinforces the low-level convergence, creating a positive feedback effect that facilitates the rapid convective development.

     

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