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基于数值模拟的三峡库区地表能量收支特征分析

Analysis of surface energy budget characteristics in Three Gorges Reservoir area based on numerical simulation

  • 摘要: 研究三峡库区地表能量收支的细节特征可以为定量评估水库气候效应提供科学依据,基于再分析资料CRA-40驱动WRF区域气候模式,对2013—2022年三峡库区夏季气候进行了高精度模拟,利用站点观测数据和ERA5再分析数据验证模式的可靠性,在此基础上系统分析了地表能量收支与辐射平衡的时空变化特征。结果表明:WRF模式能较好地再现三峡库区气温和辐射的时空分布,模拟结果显示云层是调控地表能量分配的关键因子,使全天空条件下的地表向下短波辐射和净短波辐射较晴空条件平均分别减少70~130 W·m−2和50~100 W·m−2。地表能量分配以潜热通量为主导,其与净辐射的变化高度同步,且均表现出显著的季节内变化和昼夜变化特征,峰值分别出现在7月末至8月初和白天午后。库区水体具有显著的储热效应,晴空午间的储热通量可超过650 W·m2,改变了净辐射的能量分配去向。本文为深入理解三峡工程的气候与环境效应进一步提供了重要的数据参考。

     

    Abstract: By investigating the detailed characteristics of the surface energy budget in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area to provide a scientific basis for quantifying its climatic effects, this study conducted high-resolution simulations of the summer climate (2013–2022) in the Three Gorges Reservoir area using the WRF model driven by China's first-generation global atmospheric reanalysis product (CRA-40). The model's reliability was rigorously evaluated against station observations and reanalysis data. On this basis, the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of surface radiation budget and energy balance were systematically analyzed. Results demonstrate that the WRF model satisfactorily reproduces the spatiotemporal distributions of air temperature and radiation components. The model results confirm that cloud cover is a critical factor regulating surface energy distribution, reducing the all-sky surface downward shortwave radiation and net radiation by an average of 70~130 W·m−2 and 50~100 W·m−2, respectively, compared to clear-sky conditions. Latent heat flux dominates the surface energy partitioning, exhibiting high synchrony with net radiation variations. Both components display pronounced intra-seasonal and diurnal variations, with peak values occurring from late July to early August and during the afternoon hours. Furthermore, the reservoir water body induces a significant heat storage effect, with the heat storage flux under clear-sky midday conditions exceeding 650 W·m−2, thereby altering the allocation of net radiation energy. This article provides an important data reference for further understanding the climate and environmental effects of the Three Gorges Project.

     

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