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柴东红, 杨晓亮, 吴紫煜, 闫雪瑾, 裴宇杰, 李宗涛, 张义军. 2017: 京津冀地区雷暴大风天气的统计分析. 暴雨灾害, 36(3): 193-199. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.03.001
引用本文: 柴东红, 杨晓亮, 吴紫煜, 闫雪瑾, 裴宇杰, 李宗涛, 张义军. 2017: 京津冀地区雷暴大风天气的统计分析. 暴雨灾害, 36(3): 193-199. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.03.001
CHAI Donghong, YANG Xiaoliang, WU Ziyu, YAN XueJin, PEI YuJie, LI Zongtao, ZHANG YiJun. 2017: The statistical analysis of thunderstorm gales over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 36(3): 193-199. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.03.001
Citation: CHAI Donghong, YANG Xiaoliang, WU Ziyu, YAN XueJin, PEI YuJie, LI Zongtao, ZHANG YiJun. 2017: The statistical analysis of thunderstorm gales over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 36(3): 193-199. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.03.001

京津冀地区雷暴大风天气的统计分析

The statistical analysis of thunderstorm gales over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

  • 摘要: 根据灾情观测资料、重要天气报告资料,从多角度对京津冀地区雷暴大风进行了统计分析,结合MICAPS资料、NCEP资料、自动站资料以及多普勒天气雷达资料,讨论了雷暴大风形成的天气条件、类型和风暴特征,结果表明:雷暴大风主要分布在北京西北部山区、沿海地区以及西北部高原,平原相对较少,近30 a演变趋势为振荡减少。雷暴大风最早始于3月中旬,最晚终于11月上旬,6月下旬达到顶峰,6、7月份为最多月份,14—20时为日高峰期。雷暴大风的旬、月分布与冷空气活动、南支急流的位置有关;雷暴大风的形成,5、9月份需要更高的热力条件和动力条件,6、7、8月份需要更高的不稳定条件和能量条件;西北气流型和低涡型是产生雷暴大风日数最多的天气类型。各类型天气系统的月分布与冷空气活动、副热带高压位置以及南支急流的强度、位置有关;雷暴大风的范围与影响系统的尺度和强度有关,冷锋和低涡出现区域性雷暴大风天气的几率最高,且级别越高,冷锋的优势越明显;雷暴大风过程多单体风暴最多,飑线次之。雷暴大风的范围与风暴的强弱有关,飑线、超级单体风暴是出现区域性雷暴大风几率最高的对流风暴,且级别越高,飑线的优势越明显。

     

    Abstract: Based on the observation data of disaster and significant weather report, the thunderstorm gale in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is analysed from multiple perspectives. Specifically combined with the MICAPS data, NCEP data, automatic station data and Doppler weather radar data, the weather conditions, types and characteristics of thunderstorm gale are discussed. Results are as follows. Thunderstorm gales are mainly recorded in the mountains northwest of Beijing, coastal areas and the northwest plateau, but less in the plains. They present an oscillation decreasing trend in nearly 30 years. Thunderstorm gales first begin in mid-March, end in early November, while they happen most frequently in late June. They are often appear in June and July, and diurnally reach their peak during 14 PM to 20 PM. The ten-day and monthly distribution characteristics of thunderstorm gales are associated with cold air activity and the location of south branch jet stream. Higher thermal and dynamic conditions are favorable to the development of the thunderstorm gales in May and September, while higher instability and energy conditions are conducive to them in June, July and August. Weather types resulting in thunderstorm gale are mostly northwestly flow pattern and low vortex pattern. The monthly distribution characteristics of different synoptic systems are related to cold air activity, the location of subtropical high, the location and intensity of south branch jet stream. The areas affected by thunderstorm gales are relevant to the scale and strength of the influencing system. Regional thunderstorm gales the most frequently occur in cold front and low vortex weather. Moreover, the stronger damaging wind is, the higher probability the cold front appears. The multi-cell storms most happen and squall line less appear in the event of thunderstorm gale. The scope of the gale is related to the intensity of the storm. Squall line and super-cell storm have the highest probability of occurence when thunderstorm gales happen. Furthermore, the stronger damaging wind is, the higher probability the squall line appears.

     

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