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姚丽娜, 吴海英, 韩桂荣, 董芹, 黄文彦, 曹舒娅, 吴晶璐. 2017: 热带气旋衰减后造成区域性暴雨的气候特征及分型研究. 暴雨灾害, 36(5): 453-459. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.05.007
引用本文: 姚丽娜, 吴海英, 韩桂荣, 董芹, 黄文彦, 曹舒娅, 吴晶璐. 2017: 热带气旋衰减后造成区域性暴雨的气候特征及分型研究. 暴雨灾害, 36(5): 453-459. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.05.007
YAO Li-na, WU Haiying, HAN Guirong, DONG Qin, HUANG Wenyan, CAO Shuya, Wu JingLu. 2017: Study on the climatic characteristics and classification of regional rainstorms caused by weakened tropical cyclones. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 36(5): 453-459. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.05.007
Citation: YAO Li-na, WU Haiying, HAN Guirong, DONG Qin, HUANG Wenyan, CAO Shuya, Wu JingLu. 2017: Study on the climatic characteristics and classification of regional rainstorms caused by weakened tropical cyclones. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 36(5): 453-459. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2017.05.007

热带气旋衰减后造成区域性暴雨的气候特征及分型研究

Study on the climatic characteristics and classification of regional rainstorms caused by weakened tropical cyclones

  • 摘要: 利用客观分离方法及其改进方案提取得到热带气旋(TC)降水量,统计1965—2013年TC衰减成为热带低压后24 h内发生暴雨的个例,研究其气候变化特征,并进行天气学分型。结果表明:广西东部、广东、福建南部是TC衰减后24 h内产生区域性暴雨(简称WTCR24)量的主要分布区;49 a来WTCR24频次具有缓慢减少的趋势,且WTCR24频次与TC频次具有较好的相关性;北部高压坝、鞍型场、并入高空槽3类环流型中,TC是否越过副热带高压脊线、副热带高压是否减弱是降水预报的转折点;较弱的TC何时并入较强的TC环流,是双台风型WTCR24发生的关键。

     

    Abstract: By using objective separation method and its improved extraction algorithm, tropical cyclone precipitation is obtained. Based on tropical cyclones from 1965 to 2013, which caused rainstorms within 24 hours of TC weakening, research is carried out on the climatic characteristics and their corresponding classification of regional rainstorms. Results show that eastern Guangxi, Guangdong and southern Fujian are the main distribution areas of regional rainstorms within 24 hours of TC weakening (WTCR24). WTCR24 frequency has a slowly decreasing trend in the past 49 years and the frequency of WTCR24 is correlated to the frequency of TC. In the three types of circulation patterns, i.e., high pressure dam in the North, the saddle, incorporated into the upper trough, whether TC crosses the subtropical high line and whether subtropical high is weakened are the key turning points for precipitation forecast. The weakening TC incorporated into the stronger TC circulation is the key to WTCR24 for double-typhoon type.

     

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