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姚晨, 杨祖祥, 朱月佳, 叶金印. 2018: 2018年初安徽省两次罕见大暴雪过程的对比分析. 暴雨灾害, 37(5): 401-409. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2018.05.002
引用本文: 姚晨, 杨祖祥, 朱月佳, 叶金印. 2018: 2018年初安徽省两次罕见大暴雪过程的对比分析. 暴雨灾害, 37(5): 401-409. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2018.05.002
YAO Chen, YANG Zuxiang, ZHU Yuejia, YE Jinyin. 2018: Comparative analysis of two rare heavy snowstorm events in Anhui during January 2018. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 37(5): 401-409. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2018.05.002
Citation: YAO Chen, YANG Zuxiang, ZHU Yuejia, YE Jinyin. 2018: Comparative analysis of two rare heavy snowstorm events in Anhui during January 2018. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 37(5): 401-409. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2018.05.002

2018年初安徽省两次罕见大暴雪过程的对比分析

Comparative analysis of two rare heavy snowstorm events in Anhui during January 2018

  • 摘要: 利用常规地面和高空观测资料、地基GPS/MET水汽资料、NCEP再分析资料以及多普勒天气雷达和双偏振雷达资料,对2018年1月3-4日和24-28日先后发生在安徽的两次暴雪过程(以下简称"0103"过程和"0124"过程)的环流背景与动力、热力、水汽输送条件进行对比分析,探讨两次过程降水相态转变过程中大气温度变化的异同。结果表明:(1)两次过程都发生在500 hPa高空槽东移、低层切变线东伸的环流背景下,且在700 hPa存在西南急流和逆温层;850 hPa温度场上可见明显温度锋区,大气斜压性强;大气可降水量峰值出现在强降雪时段;暴雪过程伴随暖平流增强,暴雪区位于低层冷平流和高层暖平流叠加区域。(2)两次过程的不同点是,"0103"过程先有暖湿气流增强北上,暖湿输送强,存在一定的不稳定层结,动力辐合区深厚,降雪的对流性特征明显,而"0124"过程先有低层冷空气南下形成冷垫,垂直运动发展厚度、暖湿气流强度均不如"0103"过程;强冷空气在华东沿海形成高压,使西风槽东移较慢,造成"0124"过程降雪持续时间长。(3)双偏振雷达整体上正确识别出了两次过程中降水粒子相态,其降水粒子分类产品对预报员开展降雪短临预报具有一定的参考价值。

     

    Abstract: Based on conventional upper-air and surface weather observations, ground-based GPS/MET water vapor data, NCEP reanalysis data, and Doppler weather radar and dual polarization radar data, we have performed a comparative analysis on the circulation background and the dynamic, thermodynamic and water vapor transport conditions for the two heavy snowstorm events (hereinafter referred to as "0103" event and "0124" event, respectively) occurred in Anhui Province, respectively, from January 3 to 4 and 24 to 28 in 2018, and discussed their similarities and differences in atmospheric temperature variation when precipitation phases turned during the two events. Results are as follows. (1) Both events occurred under the circumfluence background with the trough at 500 hPa moving eastwards and the low-level shear line extending eastwards, and there are southwest jet and inversion layer at 700 hPa. There is an obvious temperature front zone and strong atmospheric baroclinicity in temperature field at 850 hPa. The time period of the high atmospheric precipitation values corresponds to that of heavy snowfall. The warm advection enhances when the snowstorm occurs. The snowstorm areas are located in the superposition of low-level cold advection and high-level warm advection. (2) The difference between the two events is that during "0103" event the warm and wet air flow increases and moves northward firstly and it supplies enough moisture. There is some unstable stratification. The dynamic convergence zone is deep, and the convective characteristics of snowfall are obvious. But during "0124" event, the low-level cold air moves southward and forms a cold cushion firstly. However, the thickness of vertical movement development and the intensity of the warm advection are not as great as those during "0103" event. Strong cold air mass forms high pressure along the coast of East China and forces the westerly trough to move eastward slowly, causing a long snowfall duration. (3) The precipitation particle phases are correctly identified by dual polarization radar during the two events. The precipitation particle classification products have certain reference value for short-term forecasting and nowcasting of snowfall.

     

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