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娄珊珊, 陈光舟, 陆雅君, 郝莹. 2019: 安徽省近40 a极端温度事件的气候特征分析. 暴雨灾害, 38(1): 72-78. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.01.009
引用本文: 娄珊珊, 陈光舟, 陆雅君, 郝莹. 2019: 安徽省近40 a极端温度事件的气候特征分析. 暴雨灾害, 38(1): 72-78. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.01.009
LOU Shanshan, CHEN Guangzhou, LU Yajun, HAO Ying. 2019: Climatic characteristics of extreme temperature events in recent 40 years in Anhui. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 38(1): 72-78. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.01.009
Citation: LOU Shanshan, CHEN Guangzhou, LU Yajun, HAO Ying. 2019: Climatic characteristics of extreme temperature events in recent 40 years in Anhui. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 38(1): 72-78. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.01.009

安徽省近40 a极端温度事件的气候特征分析

Climatic characteristics of extreme temperature events in recent 40 years in Anhui

  • 摘要: 利用1975-2014年安徽省77个观测站的日最高温度、最低温度和平均气温资料,对近40 a极端温度事件的时空分布特征进行分析。结果表明:安徽省冬季极端低温事件的发生频次分布,总体呈北多南少,地区差异较大,极端低温事件发生次数最多的是宿州萧县。近40 a间冬季的极端低温事件发生减少趋势显著,与冬季平均温度的显著上升相对应。年极端最低温度年际变化趋势不明显,且极端低温的发生频次与强度并不对应。夏季极端高温事件发生频次较多区域为江南。1975-2014年,夏季极端高温事件发生呈整体增多趋势,但趋势不显著。年极端最高温度的时间序列,与极端高温事件发生频次的时间序列是相对应的,呈现明显的正相关。从MK突变上看,年极端低温和高温事件发生均存在突变。分析合成环流场发现,冬季极端冷事件发生时,亚洲中高纬度环流的经向度明显增强;夏季极端暖事件的发生与副高的明显西伸增强维持有关。

     

    Abstract: Using daily maximum, minimum and mean temperature data at 77 stations in Anhui province from 1975 to 2014, the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of extreme temperature events were analyzed. The results showed that the occurrence frequency of extreme cold events in winter has significant regional dependence, which is greater in the north than in the south, and the most frequently is in Anhui, Xiaoxian. The decrease trend of occurrence of extreme cold events of near 40 years was significant, corresponding to the significant increase trend of winter mean temperature. The annual variation of extreme minimum temperature was not obvious, and the frequency and intensity of extreme cold events do not correspond to each other. During the period from 1975 to 2014, the occurrence of extreme warm events in summer is mainly located in the south, and it had an increase trend although it was not significant. The time series of the extreme maximum temperature of the year is corresponding to the time series of the occurrence frequency of extreme warm events. From the analysis of MK mutation, the fluctuation of extreme cold events and extreme warm events both had a point mutation. The analysis of synthetic circulation field showed that the occurrence of extreme cold events in winter is closely related to the meridional dimensions of the circulation in high latitudes of Asia, while the occurrence of the extreme warm events in summer is greatly affected by the obvious westward extension and maintenance of the subtropical high.

     

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