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基于支持向量机的双偏振雷达对流降水类型识别方法研究

Research on hydrometeor classification of convective weather based on SVM by dual linear polarization radar

  • 摘要: 利用基于T矩阵法建立的降水粒子雷达探测模型,建立了基于支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)的雷达降水类型识别模型。通过样本数据归一化预处理,并考虑到样本集中各偏振参量间是非线性的,择优选径向基核函数作为非线性支持向量机的核函数,采用粒子群优化算法(Particle Swarm Optimization,PSO)获取最优核函数参数Cγ,使模型达到较高分类预测准确率。建立的SVM雷达降水类型识别模型,在各仰角的预测准确率于X波段可达80%以上,于S波段可达95%左右。进一步分析发现,当多波长下预测降水类型相同时,分类预测结果准确率可达97.3%,而错误的概率仅为2.7%。可见,所建立的SVM雷达降水类型识别模型,有效提高了雷达对流天气下降水类型的识别能力。

     

    Abstract: This study established a Support Vector Machine (SVM)-based radar classification model of hydrometeor under the T-matrix based radar detection model of hydrometeors. Through normalizing data in the first place, it is also considered that data among polarization parameters are non-linear. Therefore, the study chose radial basis function as the kernel function of non-linear SVM and used Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to obtain the optimal kernel function parameters C and γ, so as to achieve higher accuracy of hydrometeor classification. The prediction accuracy of the established SVM-based radar classification model of hydrometeor reached more than 80% at X band and close to 95% at S band at all elevations. Further analysis shows that the prediction accuracy of hydrometeor classification can reach 97.3%, while the misjudgement is only 2.7%, when the prediction types of hydrometeor are the same with multi-wavelength joint observations. In conclusion, the establisehd SVM-based radar classification model of hydrometeor could improve both the ability to classify the hydrometeors in convective weather and the ability for early warning and forecasting of disastrous weather by dual linear polarization radars.

     

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