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公颖, 周晓珊, 潘晓, 白华. 2020: 新降雪密度估算方法研究进展. 暴雨灾害, 39(4): 325-334. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2020.04.002
引用本文: 公颖, 周晓珊, 潘晓, 白华. 2020: 新降雪密度估算方法研究进展. 暴雨灾害, 39(4): 325-334. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2020.04.002
GONG Ying, ZHOU Xiaoshan, PAN Xiao, BAI Hua. 2020: Advances in newly-fallen snow density research. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 39(4): 325-334. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2020.04.002
Citation: GONG Ying, ZHOU Xiaoshan, PAN Xiao, BAI Hua. 2020: Advances in newly-fallen snow density research. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 39(4): 325-334. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2020.04.002

新降雪密度估算方法研究进展

Advances in newly-fallen snow density research

  • 摘要: 降雪深度预报是北方地区冬季气象服务的重点和难点,新降雪密度估算是降雪深度预报的关键技术。本文回顾了新降雪密度估算中需要着重考虑的气象要素,并对国内外广泛使用的几类新降雪密度估算方法进行了详细的介绍和对比,在此基础上,评述几种估算方法的特点、局限性以及它们之间的承接联系,并对未来新降雪密度估算的发展方向进行了展望。主要结论为:(1)温度、风速、湿度的垂直分布及太阳辐射、降水量是影响新降雪密度的重要气象要素。(2)目前被广泛应用的新降雪密度估算方法有设为常数法、建立公式法、后处理诊断法和基于微物理过程法等四类,四种方法各具特点和局限性,且存在着上下承接关系。(3)较为科学的后处理诊断法和基于微物理过程法有着各自的相对优势也有着难以克服的不足,未来新降雪密度的估算需要在这两种方法的相互促进、共同提高中逐步发展。

     

    Abstract: The prediction of newly-fallen snow depth is a key and difficult task for winter meteorological service in Northern China. The es-timation of newly-fallen snow density is its essential technology. In this paper we review the important influencing factors on newly-fallen snow density, and introduce and compare several most widely applied estimating methods. Then we discuss their characteristics, limitations and the relations among them. Finally, we envision the developing direction of newly-fallen snow density estimation in the future. The main conclusions are as follows. (1) Temperature, wind speed, humidity, solar radiation and precipitation are important meteorological factors af-fecting newly-fallen snow density. (2) At present, the most widely used newly-fallen snow density estimation methods include those assum-ing a constant, building formulae, performing post diagnosis and invoking microphysical processes. They all have their own characteristics and limitations, and have fore-and-aft connections. (3) The relatively scientific post diagnosing and microphysical processes methods have their own relative superiorities and deficiencies that are difficult to overcome. The developing of newly-fallen snow density estimation needs the mutual promoting and common progress of those two methods.

     

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