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谷皓东, 尹金方, 许先煌, 谢衍新, 李丰. 2022: 大气冰核浓度对华北一次大范围强降水影响的模拟分析. 暴雨灾害, 41(4): 413-425. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2022.04.006
引用本文: 谷皓东, 尹金方, 许先煌, 谢衍新, 李丰. 2022: 大气冰核浓度对华北一次大范围强降水影响的模拟分析. 暴雨灾害, 41(4): 413-425. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2022.04.006
GU Haodong, YIN Jinfang, XU Xianhuang, XIE Yanxin, LI Feng. 2022: A numerical study of the effects of varing ice nuclei concentration on severe precipitation of a large area in north China. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 41(4): 413-425. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2022.04.006
Citation: GU Haodong, YIN Jinfang, XU Xianhuang, XIE Yanxin, LI Feng. 2022: A numerical study of the effects of varing ice nuclei concentration on severe precipitation of a large area in north China. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 41(4): 413-425. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2022.04.006

大气冰核浓度对华北一次大范围强降水影响的模拟分析

A numerical study of the effects of varing ice nuclei concentration on severe precipitation of a large area in north China

  • 摘要: 冰核在冷云降水中起着重要的作用。为了分析冰核-温度活化谱对于大范围强降水过程的影响,本文利用华北地区不同时期外场试验观测的冰核-温度活化谱模拟分析了华北一次大范围强降水过程。模拟设置两组试验:(1)1990年代观测的高冰核浓度冰核-温度活化谱(HIN);(2)2010年代观测的低冰核浓度冰核-温度活化谱(LIN)。结果表明,两组试验均能够较好地再现此次强降水和对流系统的时空演变,冰核浓度的变化对降水的整体落区和区域平均降水量的影响不明显,但对降水发生的时间有一定影响。增加冰核浓度导致前期(南部、北部降水)降水的增强,而后期(中部降水)降水减弱,一定程度上改变了局地降水的强度。就整个降水过程而言,HIN试验中雨水、云水与冰相物含量略高于低冰核浓度的LIN试验,但是在不同降水阶段略有差异。具体而言,HIN在降水前期(南部、北部降水)雨水含量较高,而后期(中部降水)低冰核浓度使得雨水含量较高,这主要是由于冰核浓度的改变对云水向雨水转化的影响。本研究结果表明在高冰核浓度背景条件下,冰核浓度的变化对降水强度和落区的整体时空分布变化影响不大,但能引起局地降水的时空变化。该结果可为高冰核背景浓度环境中人工影响天气作业和云微物理参数化方案中冰核活化过程的描述提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Ice nuclei play an important role in cold cloud precipitation. In order to analyze the influence of ice nuclei-temperature spectra on the large-scale heavy precipitation process, the ice nuclei-temperature spectra measured in fields in North China are used to simulate the process. Two sets of experiments were simulated: (1) the high ice nucleus concentration ice nuclei-temperature spectrum (HIN) observed in the 1990s and (2) the low ice nucleus concentration ice nuclei-temperature spectrum (LIN) observed in the 2010s. The results show that the two sets of experiments can reproduce the temporal and spatial evolution of the extreme precipitation event and the convective system. The change of ice nucleus concentration has no obvious effect on the overall precipitation process and the regional average precipitation. The increase of ice nucleus concentration would increase the precipitation in the early precipitation period (southern and northern precipitation) but weaken the precipitation in the later precipitation period (middle precipitation), which had a significant impact on the local precipitation intensity. The significant impact may be related to the higher background ice nucleus concentration in North China. In terms of the whole process, the contents of rainwater, cloud water, and ice phase in the HIN test with high ice nucleus concentration are slightly higher than those in the LIN test with low ice nucleus concentration. However, the high ice nucleus concentration in the early precipitation period (southern precipitation) and the low ice nucleus concentration in the later period (middle precipitation) make the rain content higher, which is mainly due to the influence of change of ice nucleus concentration on the two conversions of cloud water to rain water. This study shows that under the background of high ice nucleus concentration, the change of ice nucleus concentration has little effect on the precipitation intensity and the overall temporal and spatial distribution of the falling area, but it can cause the temporal and spatial changes of local precipitation.

     

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