支持向量机方法在单站降水预报中的应用探讨

The Discussion of Precipitation Predict in Wuhan Based on SVM Method

摘要: 将武汉天空云量预报的81个预报因子运用到该站中等以上强度的降水预报中,基于SVM方法进行了交叉验证和预报试验。结果表明用81个预报因子建立的5～9月和全样本的降水预报模型有较好稳定性、且对降水都有正的预报技巧。因此天空云量

Abstract: 81 predictors from cloud amount forecast are used to predict the precipitation.Based on Support Vector Machine(SVM) method,cross-validations and test are performed.The results show that the stability and the fore