2006年汛期北京地区中尺度数值业务降水预报检验

Evaluation of Operational Precipitation Forecasts in Beijing Area During the Flooding Season of 2006

摘要: 采用北京地区自动站逐小时观测降水资料对2006年汛期北京地区中尺度数值业务降水预报效果进行了客观检验,并针对2006年汛期的降水特点对模式的降水预报性能进行了初步的评估,着重对发生的28次降水过程按其主导的天气系统进行了分类

Abstract: In this paper,the operational numerical precipitation forecasts of BMB during the flooding season of 2006 were verified against the hourly accumulated precipitation from AWS observation data in Beijing area.The 2