基于T213的6～8月湖北省暴雨落区(点)预报模型和指标研究

Numerical Forecast Model and Index for Rainstorm Areas and Spots during June to August in Hubei Province

摘要: 暴雨的落区、落点预报仍是当今天气预报中的难题。为了逐步提高暴雨落区落点预报的准确率,利用T213数值预报产品,对2003～2005年6～8月湖北省暴雨天气过程进行综合诊断分析,着重分析了对产生暴雨贡献较大的数值预报物理量场和量值

Abstract: The forecast of rainstorm area is still a difficult problem.In order to improve the accuracy of forecast,the heavy rain processes in Hubei province during June to August of 2003 and 2005 are analyzed by using the