三种数值预报产品短期强降水预报定量误差评估

Quantitative Evaluation of Short-term Strong Precipitation Forecasting of

摘要: 利用误差分析和累计降水检验的方法,对日本、德国、T213三种数值预报模式在强降水过程中的预报进行了统计和比较,并分析了强降水过程中日本模式的预报定量误差。结果表明:三模式产品在强降水过程预报中预报值基本上小于实况,而且随

Abstract: The precipitation products of JMA、GRE and T213 in strong precipitation courses were statisticed and compared by using the means of error analysis and accumulative verification,and the quantitative error of JMA's