AREM短期集合预报系统及其降水预报检验

Precipitation Verifications to an Ensemble Prediction System Based on AREM

摘要: 基于我国科学家自主开发的AREM区域中尺度模式,考虑模式初值和侧边界条件的不确定性,采用BGM方案,建立有11个成员、37km分辨率、覆盖全国区域的短期集合预报系统,并将其于2009年汛期投入准业务化试验,进行了连续2个月的预报结果检

Abstract: Based on a regional model AREM(Advanced Regional Eta Model) and its initial conditions and lateral boundary conditions, a Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system which has 11 members in 37km horizontal resolution ov