基于集合降水预报产品的汛期洪水预报试验

Preliminary Experiment on Flood Forecast in Flood Season Based on Ensemble Precipitation Prediction Products

摘要: 为改善因水文模型中降水等输入信息的不确定性对确定性水文预报精度的严重影响,以湖北省漳河流域为例,将中尺度暴雨数值模式(AREM)集合降水预报产品输入到新安江水文模型中,对该流域2008年汛期一次典型的洪水过程进行预报测试。结

Abstract: In order to reduce the unfavourable influence on hydrological forecast precisions owing to the uncertainty of information,such as rain,putting into hydrological model,the paper describes a forecast research takin