GRAPES模式对湖北省汛期强降水预报的分类检验分析

Classified Validation of Precipitation Forecast over HuBei Province by GRAPES

摘要: 使用常规观测资料及GFS资料(1°×1°),选取2005—2008年汛期22次湖北省强降水天气过程,按照其影响系统分为低槽型、台风型和副高外围型三类,对GRAPES模式(2.1版本)预报效果进行分类检验分析,结果表明:(1)就低槽型降水而言,0～24h

Abstract: Twenty-two heavy rain events are classified into three types by different governing weather systems to evaluate the model ability in predicting heavy rain events over HuBei Province using Grapes V2.1, observation