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郑小华, 屈振江, 栗珂. 2009: 基于随机过程理论的长江巨洪发生概率预测模式与应用. 暴雨灾害, 28(3): 76-80.
引用本文: 郑小华, 屈振江, 栗珂. 2009: 基于随机过程理论的长江巨洪发生概率预测模式与应用. 暴雨灾害, 28(3): 76-80.
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ZHENG xiao-hua, QU zhen-jiang, LI ke. 2009: Yangtze Large Flood Probability Random Process Model Prediction Research Based on the theory for stationary random processes. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 28(3): 76-80.
Citation: ZHENG xiao-hua, QU zhen-jiang, LI ke. 2009: Yangtze Large Flood Probability Random Process Model Prediction Research Based on the theory for stationary random processes. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 28(3): 76-80.
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基于随机过程理论的长江巨洪发生概率预测模式与应用

Yangtze Large Flood Probability Random Process Model Prediction Research Based on the theory for stationary random processes

    摘要
  • 摘要: 根据长江流域1849—1998年发生的巨洪资料序列,通过正态性、独立性等统计检验,确定序列的性质;然后,利用平稳独立随机过程理论建立概率预测模式,对长江流域巨洪发生概率作出研究性预测。结果表明,根据1849年以来长江巨洪资料样本,

     

    Abstract: According to the data series of 150 a(1849—1998) for large flood in Yangtze River basin,and through the statistical analysis of normality and independency,the properties of the data series are determined.Based o

     

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